One more thing before I go
Wednesday, June 9, 2010 at 11:21AM As most followers of the US political system know, long time Democratic Senator Chris Dodd is soon retiring. A major legacy for the financial industry will be the passage of a large number of financial reforms that we have been covering in this blog since President Obama was elected.
Leading US law firm, K&L Gates, has posted a very good summary of the current status of the Dodd Bill, the House Bill that was similar and the conference proceedings which begin any day now.
In short the Obama Financial Reforms should be signed into law by early July.
The reforms will bring a lot of change in areas like bank regulation, OTC derivatives, US registration of hedge funds and other private pools of capital, credit agencies and the sale of financial products to consumers. Each change is actually quite significant and as a group they certainly are the biggest changes to US financial services since the 1930's.
With such considerable change and new rules across multiple types of business models it is all going to take a while to digest. Indeed as K&L Gates point out, you should expect further legislative amendments and clarifications to as the provisions begin to be tried in real life.
A few wags referred to the Sarbanes Oxley legislation as the Accounting and Audit Remuneration Act and the Dodd Bill is certainly the Legal and Compliance Providers Remuneration Act of 2010.
We expect to see a decent volume of work in 2011 arising from the requirement for overseas managers of hedge funds to be registered with the US SEC and to remain compliant with it rules and directives.
We also expect broad international acceptance of many of the US banking, OTC, consumer protection and credit reference agency changes to result in corresponding changes at the local level in the major Asian jurisdictions of Japan, Australia, Hong Kong and Singapore. Hong Kong recently announced it is issuing new guideance for credit reference agencies and it has been quite active over the last 12 months in the area of rule changes for firms selling financial products to the public. Singapore has of course made similar progess in the area of the sale of financial products and it is expected to soon require all previously exempt asset managers to be licensed by the MAS.
The costs of new provisions across multiple jurisdictions will be high. This against a backdrop of sub-optimal economic growth in the US and Europe and challenging markets for asset managers and intermediaries in the Asian region. It is fair to say that this is likely to mean that the industry will be smaller overall. The larger players will find a way to meet the new requirements - even if it means splitting off parts of their business - while the ones who have been marginal to this point simply won't have the capital to go on. Mr Dodd may not be the only one retiring soon.
